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Bayesian Capital Management, LP

SEC Form 13F institutional filer · CIK 0001632551

13F-HR · 61 reported holdings · 2026-03-31

Reported long-US-equity value

$0.04B

Top-10 concentration

46.9%

Bayesian Capital Management, LP — $43.7M AUM allocation strategy

Bayesian Capital Management, LP files SEC Form 13F and reports $43.7M of long US equity value across 61 reported holdings for 2026-03-31.

Its largest sector bet is Information Technology 21.2%, followed by Consumer Discretionary 10.7% and Communication Services 9.3%.

The top 10 holdings account for 47% of reported value — a broadly spread portfolio. The sector and industry splits below are of the same reported value. Track quarter-over-quarter adds, trims, new positions and exits below — sourced from SEC 13F filings, public domain.

Bayesian Capital Management, LP — latest SEC 13F insights

Reported long-US-equity value (13F AUM)

$43.7M

total across 61 reported holdings · 2026-03-31 · excludes shorts, cash, non-US

Top-10 concentration

47% of value

higher = narrower conviction; lower = spread / hedging

Biggest adds (shares)

$XOM$GEN$META

+$XOM +14.3K sh · +$2.55M+$GEN +8.41K sh · +$91.5K+$META +3.29K sh · +$1.76M

Biggest trims (shares)

$SPGI$NFLX$CVS

−$SPGI −9.72K sh · −$97.2K−$NFLX −5K sh · −$449K−$CVS −4.45K sh · −$374K

Added from nil (new positions)

$NKE$SNDK$PANW$BSX$PFE

5 fresh holdings — new conviction

Exited to nil (held last quarter, gone now)

$NVDA$JPM$DXCM$MCHP$IWM

$NVDA ($1.6M last qtr)$JPM ($1.29M last qtr)$DXCM ($954K last qtr)$MCHP ($940K last qtr)$IWM ($862K last qtr)

Sector allocation (share of reported value)

Information Technology 21%Consumer Discretionary 11%Communication Services 9%Energy 7%Health Care 6%Financials 6%Consumer Staples 5%Other holdings 35%SECTORS
  • $XLKInformation Technology21.2%
  • $XLYConsumer Discretionary10.7%
  • $XLCCommunication Services9.3%
  • $XLEEnergy6.6%
  • $XLVHealth Care6.4%
  • $XLFFinancials5.6%
  • $XLPConsumer Staples4.8%
  • Other holdings35.4%

each slice is a share of the reported long-US-equity value — smaller sectors and the rest of the book roll into “Other holdings”

Qtr shift = share-point change vs the prior quarter's filing — first period tracked for this filer; the column fills in with the next quarterly refresh.

Industry allocation (share of reported value)

Systems Software 12%Interactive Media & Services 8%Integrated Oil & Gas 7%Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods 6%Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals 6%Health Care Equipment 3%Pharmaceuticals 3%Automobile Manufacturers 3%Other holdings 52%INDUSTRIES
  • Systems Software12.3%
  • Interactive Media & Services7.6%
  • Integrated Oil & Gas6.6%
  • Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods6.2%
  • Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals6.1%
  • Health Care Equipment3.4%
  • Pharmaceuticals3.0%
  • Automobile Manufacturers2.9%
  • Other holdings52.0%

the finer GICS cut of the same book — same denominator — smaller industries roll into “Other holdings”

Qtr shift = share-point change vs the prior quarter's filing — first period tracked for this filer; the column fills in with the next quarterly refresh.

Top S&P 500 holdings

10 of 10 rows · sorted by Value ↓

TickerHoldingSharesValueΔ QoQWeight
$XOMExxonMobil Holdings Corporation16.9K$2.87M+14.3K6.6%
$MSFTMicrosoft Corporation7.4K$2.74M+3.17K6.3%
$NKENike Inc51.1K$2.7M6.2%
$METAMeta Platforms Inc4.7K$2.69M+3.29K6.2%
$SNDKSandisk Corporation4.23K$2.69M6.2%
$PANWPalo Alto Networks Inc9.4K$1.51M3.5%
$BSXBoston Scientific Corporation23.6K$1.48M3.4%
$PFEPfizer Inc46.7K$1.31M3.0%
$TSLATesla Inc3.4K$1.26M2.9%
$APHAmphenol Corporation9.6K$1.21M2.8%

…and 51 more holdings in the full 13F filing (top positions only shown).

SEC Form 13F data sets · public domain · 45-day filing lag · >$100M AUM managers · as reported

← All 13F filers·← QuantOrb.pro

How to read Δ QoQ — the five insight categories, and the caveats

The categories. Analysts, quants and retail traders look past total portfolio value to isolate actionable signals. Five categories matter.

Conviction & concentration shifts

New positions vs complete exits — a brand-new stock signals high conviction; a full liquidation suggests a broken thesis or tax-loss harvesting. Aggressive sizing — look at share count, not dollars: a 20% share increase during a drawdown is strong dip-buying. Concentration — a narrowing top-5/10 means conviction; spreading capital across more names means hedging.

Sector & macro allocation rotations

Aggregating Δ QoQ moves across sectors shows where smart money is leaning in or sneaking out — rotating out of growth into defensives or energy, for example. The fund's total long equity exposure quarter-over-quarter is a proxy for overall institutional risk appetite.

Crowding & smart-money consensus

When several managers initiate or expand the same stock in the same quarter, that is institutional consensus. Contrarian reads: top pickers buying hard into a beaten-down name the market is selling.

Derivative & option overlays

Reported call/put changes indicate whether managers are adding downside hedges or leveraging upside exposure. Note: a long increase may be half of a market-neutral pair trade.

Who reads this

Retail "cloners"High-conviction ideas to replicate ~45 days after quarter-end.
Corporate IRWhich funds bought or dumped the stock, before the next call.
Quant / algo tradersCross-sectional factor inputs: flow, momentum, ownership.

Four caveats before you trade on it

  • 45-day lag — holdings are quarter-end; positions may already be closed.
  • Long-only — 13Fs miss shorts, pair trades and cash.
  • No non-US / fixed income — the picture is US equities plus options.
  • Corporate actions — splits and spinoffs distort raw share deltas.

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